Thursday, December 18, 2014

Cuba the Next Cancun? It Should Be So Lucky

nytimes.com
Josh Barro

One of the stranger reactions to the news of normalized relations with Cuba has come from several commentators who fret that Cuba will lose its authenticity under capitalist influence. As Jeremy Scahill of The Intercept put it: “I’m glad I got to visit several times before US tourists try to turn it into Cancun.”
This fear — that Cuba will be spoiled by vulgar American capitalism — is pretty insulting to Cubans, who ought to be able to decide for themselves where to spend their money. But while many commenters focused on Starbucks or McDonald’s, Mr. Scahill’s formulation about Cancun was especially inapt.
That’s because Cancun isn’t a symbol of free market capitalism, and American tourists didn’t make the place what it is today. An arm of the Mexican central bank did, in perhaps the largest and most successful example of central economic planning in North American history. Cuba should be so lucky as to have made its planned economy work as well as Cancun’s.

In the late 1960s, Cancun Island was essentially vacant. Its development as a tourism megaresort was conceived by bureaucrats at the Fund for the Promotion of Tourism Infrastructure (“Infratur”), part of the Banco de Mexico. In 1972, Robert Dunphy of The New York Times interviewed Antonio Enriquez Savignac, the head of Infratur, about the process that led to the Cancun megaproject:
“We knew exactly what we wanted to build — a resort that would attract a massive flow of tourists from the United States,” Enriquez said. “But before we could obtain the go-ahead, we had to convince the government that tourism was the fastest-growing, most dynamic sector of economic growth in the world.
“As bankers, we approached this from a banker’s point of view, taking everything measurable into account, feeding it into a computer and leaving nothing to chance.” ...
Infratur had the bank’s computers so tied up with tourism statistics that the Enriquez team finally had to link up on a full-time lease basis with one across the border in California. But even so, with all the statistics flowing into the machines, the nitty-gritty work remained to be done.
What the planners did next was to peel off their pinstriped bankers’ suits, turn off the computers and head into the boondocks to check out those areas in Mexico which, according to the printouts, had all the necessary ingredients. The thing to do now was to personally check the swimming, the beaches, the actual living conditions at various places along Mexico’s 6,000 miles of coastline and compare each site with the data that the computers had produced ...
Enriquez said, “We finally narrowed the choice down to 25 sites and then gave preference to those areas where people were extremely poor — as long as all the other attributes were present, a labor supply, for example. The Yucatán Peninsula and Cancun Island proved to be ideal in this regard. There is great poverty and no industry — since sisal has been replaced by plastics — and yet the area has all the ingredients to attract tourism: sun, sea, and good weather the year round, plus easy access to some of the world’s greatest archaeological treasures, the Mayan ruins at Chichen Itza and Tulum, for example.”
Photo
On the beach in Cancun in 2013. The resort area was developed decades ago by an arm of the Mexican central bank. CreditAlonso Cupul/European Pressphoto Agency
After Infratur made its choice, the Mexican government bought all the land on Cancun Island. It built an airport and a golf course with help from a loan from the Inter-American Development Bank. It built government-owned hotels and financed private ones at preferential interest rates, years before the resort was established enough to attract unsubsidized capital. It constructed a brand-new city to house workers.
The Cancun development was a success, attracting millions of visitors each year and generating enough economic activity to support a city of 600,000. Cancun’s 32,000 hotel rooms are now privately owned. But the economic initiative and investment capital behind the resort initially came from the public sector. If you want to visit a planned economy on vacation, you don’t need access to Cuba; you can just fly to Cancun.

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