Showing posts with label hurricane polo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label hurricane polo. Show all posts

Friday, September 19, 2014

Weather Update - The News Keeps Getting Better!



We're on a roll as the good news continues. Polo actually LOST wind velocity, and is now clocking 70 MPH (112 KPH) sustained winds). That is just under the threshold for hurricane status, and it's being called a tropical storm again.
I understand this small difference doesn't sound like much, but Polo's current location is traditionally where storms continuously elevate their wind speed...just as Norbert and Odile did. In addition the track is slowly moving into that Westerly swing we're all praying for.
It's too early to call the drop in wind velocity a trend, however elevating to a hurricane and then right back to tropical storm in the same day is unusual. At the least it seems to be an indication we're dealing with a much weaker system, and helps to sooth frayed nerves for those hammered by Odlie.
By late afternoon Polo should pass Cabo Corrientes, the huge land mass which juts way out into the Pacific and largely protects) Puerto Vallarta. That's a critical point in time, as a turn to the West there (which is being called for) will put the storm well out into open water and confirm the unlikelihood of ever making landfall.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Weather Update - Hurricane Polo



The bad news is Polo is now an official hurricane with sustained maximum winds of 75 MPH (120 KPH). That qualifies it as a Category I Hurricane, which runs between 74 and 95 MPH (119 to 153 KPH). The really, really good news is that track we're expecting where it will stay at sea and well below Baja? It's looking better and better.

The proof will be in the pudding by very late on Friday night or quite early Saturday morning. Around that time we'll hopefully be able to see it already swinging West and / or too far below Baja to reach Cabo without turning back on itself at an extremely rare angle. Thank Goodness it appears the poor residents of Cabo will be getting nothing but some high surf.

You can see the latest track projection here:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?5-daynl#contents