Tuesday, 18 February 2014 00:10
BY MARK FELSENTHAL
AND DAVID ALIRE GARCÍA
Reuters
WASHINGTON/MEXICO CITY – North America’s three leaders will discuss a
controversial pipeline project that would transport Canadian crude deep
into the United States at a trade summit this week, Mexico’s top
diplomat said on Monday, adding he does not see it as a competitive
threat.
The proposed Keystone XL oil pipeline will help shape the
distribution of crude supplies in the region, and Mexico is already
beginning to diversify its oil exports away from the U.S. given surging
production there.
Mexican Foreign Minister José Antonio Meade said he was sure the
pipeline issue would come up at the North American leaders’ summit set
to kick off on Wednesday in Toluca.
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) partners U.S. President
Barack Obama, Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper and Mexican
President Enrique Peña Nieto, dubbed the “Three Amigos,” are expected to
focus on commerce and other economic issues at the summit.
If approved by Obama, TransCanada Corp would build the pipeline with a
capacity to move 830,000 barrels per day (bpd). It would delivery
Canada’s heavy oil sands crude to U.S. Gulf Coast refiners, which is
also the top destination for Mexico’s mostly heavy crude exports. The
pipeline could also transport oil from Montana and North Dakota, which
are along the pipeline’s 1,179-mile (1,897-km) route.
“We do not see it (as a threat),” Meade told Reuters in a phone
interview. “That is probably not as relevant in terms of the big numbers
as the shale revolution has been in the U.S.”
While Mexico, the world’s 10th biggest crude producer, still exports
the overwhelming majority of its crude exports to the United States, oil
shipments to the world’s biggest economy are down by half from a 2006
peak of 1.8 million bpd.
Obama will have the final say on whether to allow the more than $5 billion pipeline, a decision not expected for many months.
Obama has said in the past that he believed the pipeline should go
ahead “only if this project does not significantly exacerbate the
problem of carbon pollution.”
The U.S. State Department concluded late last month that the pipeline
will not unduly worsen climate change. But eight different U.S. federal
agencies will have a chance to weigh in on the pipeline over the next
months.
Meade said he does not expect any major energy deals to be announced during the summit.
“It is not likely that we will cover or explore specific joint
ventures at this stage, but we know that those debates and that interest
is ongoing,” he said.
In December, Peña Nieto pushed a sweeping energy reform through
Congress that promises to boost oil and gas production by luring
significant new streams of private investment into the long-shuttered
sector.
NAFTA REVISITED?
U.S. Commerce Secretary Penny Pritzker said earlier this month that
the 20-year anniversary of NAFTA was an appropriate moment to look at
how to “upgrade” North American trade ties.
However, retooling the trade pact between Canada, Mexico and the
United States is not necessary because trans-Pacific talks will cover
any gaps left by NAFTA, Meade said.
“Using NAFTA as a platform, but without a need to revisit it, we
think that there are many things that could be done between our three
countries in order for us to take advantage of that platform and to push
forward a more North American perspective,” he said.
The United States, Mexico and Canada are part of negotiations among
12 Pacific Rim countries to lower barriers to the flow of goods and
services across national borders called the Trans-Pacific Partnership or
TPP.
“Most of those issues that were not present in NAFTA are present in
TPP, which has the ambition of being a high-quality trade negotiation,”
Meade said, without specifying which areas Mexico would like to see
addressed.
Analysts say the TPP talks will allow the three countries to adapt
their trade relationship to the ways in which advances in technology
have changed global commerce over the last two decades.
Obama has singled out expanding U.S. trade as an important avenue for
strengthening economic growth this year. But leading congressional
allies have thrown cold water on those hopes.
His fellow Democrats have traditionally raised concerns that trade
agreements cause an exodus of U.S. manufacturing jobs and ease burdens
on U.S. firms to meet high environmental standards. With congressional
elections looming in November, some Democrats want to avoid alienating
key supporters by backing trade agreements.
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