Friday, 21 February 2014 00:10
BY KELLY ARTHUR GARRETT
The News
A day after North American leaders pledged to cooperate in the
economic development of the region, one of the world’s most respected
economic thinkers injected a dose of harsh reality into the
conversation, telling a gathering of industrialists in Mexico City
Thursday that unless Mexico radically shifts its economy to a
renewables-based, “Third Industrial Revolution” model, it will be left
behind.
Jeremy Rifkin, author of 17 books on the impact of technological
changes on the economy, presented a harsh picture of short-term
challenges in what he called the last stages of the era of great energy.
“Technologies like the internal combustion engine and centralized
electrification that are based on 20th century energy sources — fossil
fuels, crude oil, natural gas, shale, coal, tar sands — are old,
moribund, antiquated and exhausted,” he told a gathering of Mexican
industrialists belonging to Canacintra, the Mexican Chamber of
Industrial Transformation. “There’s nothing we can do in the industrial
community to get anything more out of these worn out technologies.”
Indeed, Rifkin warned, the stakes of continuing with carbon-based
energy sources are much higher than lost economic competitiveness.
“There have been five known major species extinction events in the
history of life on earth,” he said. ¨The sixth species extinction event
is happening in our time on our watch.”
But Rifkin’s message was as much a recipe for action as a warning of
the consequences of inaction. The world has the two needed elements for a
new industrial revolution, he said — new energy sources and a landmark
advance in communication capability.
In fact, he said, Mexico is in a position to lead the way toward the new economic regime.
“What we need in the Americas is for one country to take this up and
then move it north and move it south,” he said. “I think that country is
Mexico. I actually do.”
One reason for that, he said, is the wealth of potential clean energy sources in the country.
“Mexico is the Saudi Arabia of the new energy, with the most
exorbitant reserves of any country I know in terms of land mass,” he
said. “You have the most solar capability, the most wind on the coast,
the most geothermal, and huge possibilities in biomass and ocean waves.”
Rifkin, who has served as an economic consultant for the European
Union, didn’t shy away from urging an end to oil dependence as he
industry industry captains in a country whose economic engine has
traditionally been petroleum.
“The true function of large energy enterprises is not really to sell
energy, but to manage it,” he said. “They will continue to do that in
the new economy as aggregators.”
Acknowledging that skeptics still exist who question the
affordability of an accelerated shift to renewable energy, Rifkin
insisted that the economic fallout will be entirely positive.
Sun, wind, geothermal and ocean wave energy sources are essentially
free, he pointed out. The infrastructure development needed to tap the
free energy in itself represents a jobs bonanza. And financial
institutions will put up the capital, he said, because they know the
resulting energy savings will pay back the investment.
An example, he said, will be turning buildings into solar energy
generators, as is currently being done in Europe. “In Mexico, we’re
going to have to retrofit every single building to make it energy
efficient,” he said. “That means lots of construction and lots of jobs.”
Rifkin spoke Thursday morning at the National Industrial Convention
organized by Canacintra. President Enrique Peña Nieto addressed the
gathering later in the day.
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